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Positive news this week has led to increased discussion of cryptocurrencies on social media. According to Santiment analysts, the number of mentions of Efirium on Twitter reached a maximum since November 2021. At the same time, Bitcoin's popularity set a record since last March.

The number of VTS on exchanges continues to decline and has already reached the level of 2017. Simultaneously with the growth of USDT balance at large wallets, this creates favorable conditions for growth.

The RSI indicator in bitcoin still shows serious overbought despite the recent correction to the $34000 area. Accordingly, the probability of rapid growth is significantly reduced.

The capitalization of the six largest stablecoins increased significantly in the week before the BTC pump to $30,000. A repetition of such growth in the capitalization of stablecoins could be a harbinger of a new Bitcoin pump (santiment)

A new crypto market report from Glassnode again points to a number of factors favorable to growth. In particular, long-term investors continue their accumulation policy, while the number of stablecoins on exchanges is growing and reaching a new 7-month high. Liquidity in the markets is approaching zero. The crowd shows no willingness to take risks. This is not a guarantee of immediate growth, but we clearly see preparation for the upcoming bull run.

Affected FTX customers will be able to recover nearly half of their lost funds. Thanks to the active work of the liquidators, the assets of the exchange are already valued at $7 billion against claims of $16 billion. This was also due to the successful investment of the SBF founder in the startup Anthropic.

List of Bitcoin halvings with miner rewards. Currently, one mined block is worth 6.25 BTC.

Third airdrop of Optimism tokens. It was organized to encourage delegation and voting. This time, the project distributed approximately 19 million OP tokens. To receive these tokens, participants needed to meet certain criteria: 1. Delegate your tokens for a period of at least 7 days. 2. The total amount of delegated tokens and the duration of the delegation must be at least 18,000, or 9,000 provided that a vote has been taken. 3. The participant must have voted at least once during the period from January 20, 2023 to July 20, 2023. You can check whether you have received tokens on the corresponding web resource. As a result of the drop, tokens were distributed to more than 30,000 wallets, with amounts varying from $100 to $2,000 per wallet. This example clearly demonstrates that airdrops will still live and reward those who invest in them.

#bitcoin price history

The new Bitcoin halving is scheduled for April 20, 2024. If history repeats itself, BTC could rise to $35,000 before the halving and ~$150,000 after. Additional incentives for growth may also be the court decision on XRP and the approval of applications for spot BTC-ETFs (Pantera Capital)

People are now actively selling altcoins at a loss, which has historically been considered a bullish factor (santiment)

For two months, bitcoin has been consolidating in the range of $27,000-30000. A huge number of VTCs have been traded at these prices - Whalemap heat map data. This level will become either an incredibly strong resistance in case of going down, or a powerful support in case of going up. Everything goes to the fact that the price will consolidate below it, and we will be trying to break back above 30k for a very long time. Therefore, it is strongly not advisable to overreact now. We are waiting for the outcome

Already nearly 4.5 million ETN tokens are in the stack since the April 12 update and growing (Glassnode)

Going back to the LightCoin talk, in addition to the upcoming halving, another strong bullish signal comes from the MVRV z-score metric. Historically, it has filigree predicted up-trends in LTC (glassnode).

Meanwhile, the number of holders of at least 1 VTS has passed the 1 million mark! (Glassnode)

Top 10 cryptoprojects with the highest developer activity in the last month: 1) Polkadot #DOT 2) Kusama #KSM 3) Cardano #ADA 4) Hedera #HBAR 5) InternetComputer #ICP 6) Cosmos #ATOM 7) Status #SNT 8) Decentraland #MANA 9) Ethereum #ETH 10) Iota #MIOTA (Santiment)

This week, the number of transactions on the Bitcoin network reached an all-time high of 682,000 transfers. Against this backdrop, transaction fees have reached 12.4 percent of total miners' income, according to Glassnode analysts. This is a high figure, which is comparable to the situation in the market in mid-2019. It was higher only during the 4.9 percent days of the Bitcoin network.

There has been a surge of negative sentiment in the market - statistics from Santiment. But at the same time we should understand that the more people are waiting for the fall, the more chances for growth.

During the last day the market liquidated positions for almost $360 mln against the volatility of VTS in the range of $27,000-$30,000 (coinglass). 60% of them were longs, the leaders by volume were Binance and OKX exchanges.

Today there is a sharp withdrawal of bitcoins from exchanges (CryptoQuant)

The current halving cycle is 74% complete, historically this has always been a time of consolidation or growth, but not correction.

ETH followed our scenario without any problems and instead of falling after the validators were unlocked, it has consolidated above $2000. And right now the most important resistance, which globally restrains Ether from growth to the historical maximum, is being tested. Now the main thing is not to let VTC down. And there are difficulties with it, because the banks reporting season starts in USA and crisis in their sphere can pull not only SP500, but also other markets.

A breakdown of the $30,000 level is accompanied by a strong burst of euphoria (Santiment). It looks like the bearish cycle is over, and then we'll see X's and the cherished $100,000 and higher. Historically, the best counter-indicator of the market was the mood of the crowd (you can see it well in the Fear and Greed index). Of course, we'd like to be wrong, but with such mass confidence in the impending rise, we may well get some nasty surprises. Something similar happened with corona-dump, only in our situation the regulators and the world banking crisis threaten. What I'm getting at is this. In times of growth and general euphoria you need to keep a cool head, have a clear plan of action and fix profits without any FOMO (fear of lost profits). Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)

The current dynamics of the bitcoin exchange rate still fits into the pattern of price behavior between the halvings

Microstrategy's multi-year bitcoin purchases are paying off. Despite the protracted bear market, the average buying price of 140 thousand VTC is at $29800 or practically at breakeven (CryptoQuant) Quite a working strategy for long-term investments, which is suitable for both large companies and ordinary investors.

According to the MVRV model, many altcoins are significantly underbought now and look promising (Santiment)

Bitcoin closed March up 23%. In just the first quarter, the VTC price rose 72%, one of the best results in history. Usually the year started out much weaker. April has historically been a strong month, with an average return of 16%. But it should be noted that technically bitcoin now looks quite weak, there are many bearish signs. So there is not much optimism.

The ESP metric (Exchange Stablecoins Ratio, or otherwise the number of VTCs on exchanges divided by the number of stablecoins) rose to its highest level since May 2021. This means that bitcoins are arriving on exchanges faster than stabelcoins. This in turn means that the purchasing power of stabelcoins is declining. This is certainly a bearish sign for the market. (CryptoQuant)

While we are all trying to figure out what is happening to bitcoin now and where it will go next, a comparison of growth cycles still makes it clear that growth awaits us. All the current dynamics fit perfectly into the pattern of rate behavior between the Halving (Galaxy)

Cryptoprojects with the highest developer activity in the last 30 days: 1) Polkadot #DOT 2) Kusama #KSM 3) Cardano #ADA 4) InternetComputer #ICP 5) Ethereum #ETH 6) Status #SNT 7) Hedera #HBAR 8) Cosmos #ATOM 9) Chainlink #LINK 10) Decentraland #MANA