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Spot #Gold Reaches New Historical High of $2600

$NEAR TP1✅ 4.37 $NEAR TP2✅ 4.31 SL to BE

$NEAR short scalp Entry: 4.466 SL: 4.585 Targets: 4.37 - 4.31 - 4.14 Risk: High

Japanese public company Metaplanet stock performance after adopting the #Bitcoin strategy.

That move higher looks like bait. below 63k it should drop a lil.

🇺🇸 Last 2 times the Fed’s first cut was 50+ bps: ▫️Jan 3, 2001 - S&P 500 fell ~39% next 448 days - Unemployment rose another 2.1% - Recession ▫️Sep 18, 2007 - S&P 500 fell ~54% next 372 days - Unemployment rose another 5.3% - Recession

SUMMARY OF FED DECISION (9/18/24): 1. Fed cuts interest rates by 50 bps for the first time since 2020 2. Fed sees 2 more 25 basis point rate cuts in 2024 3. One Fed governor dissented for the first time since 2005 in favor of a 25 bps rate cut 4. Fed gained "greater confidence" that inflation is moving to 2% 5. Fed will "carefully assess incoming data" and evolve the outlook 6. Fed sees 100 bps of rate cuts in 2025 and 50 bps of cuts in 2026

🚀

Fed cuts 50bps

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spot buyers holding it above support for now. A M30 close above 60k should push it to range high at 61500

If spot sellers enter here, it's game over for $BTC. 56k is imminent.

Big Macro print today in some hours. Probability is higher for a 50bps cut but there are difference in opinions among economists where majority of them agreed for 25bps cut. Either way any move into 62k, I will short cuz this is gonna be sell the news event. Once market clears out the leverage longs, then the real Up trend starts.

Today, all eyes are on the U.S. Federal Reserve meeting. Forecasts: 63% predict a 0.5% rate cut, 37% predict a 0.25% cut. Remember: Trading on such days is very risky. It’s better to reassess our portfolio’s risk profile and prepare a medium-term action plan for various scenarios. Whatever, Jerome Powell says will be crucial So keep an eye

Here are the current betting odds for what Jerome Powell and the Fed will do tomorrow according to Kalshi

Falling Spot CVD and price chopping higher at range high means only one thing - range low is coming.

The U.S. election season has a profound impact on financial markets, as investors often adjust their strategies based on expectations of future policies. During election years, market volatility tends to increase, with stocks, bonds, and currencies reacting to campaign rhetoric, policy discussions, and potential outcomes.

March, April, July, and August each saw record-breaking BTC trade volumes compared to previous years

Tether’s market share has skyrocketed by 20% in two years, hitting 75% of the entire stablecoin market, while generating $400 million in revenue over the last 30 days.

$BTC round-tripped that small bounce with spot bidders. Extremely weak now, see you at 56k soon.

Binance Founder CZ Scheduled for Release on September 29, According to Federal Bureau of Prisons Website

BTC Liquidation heatmap

China Overnight Economic Data: Unemployment Rate: Miss 🔴 Retail Sales: Miss 🔴 Industrial Production: Miss 🔴 Fixed Asset Investment: Miss 🔴

Key Events Scheduled This Week: 1. August Retail Sales data - Tue 2. August Building Permits data - Wed 3. Fed Interest Rate Decision - Wed 4. Fed Press Conference - Wed 5. Philly Fed Manufacturing Index - Thu 6. August Existing Home Sales data - Thu

Companies & institutions have grown their #Bitcoin holdings by 587% over the past four years — River Financial

$WLD stopped at BE after TP1✅ $ETH stopped out at BE after TP1✅ and TP2✅

$SUI TP2✅ 1.12

$SUPER TP1✅ 0.96 SL to BE

$SUPER Long Entry: 0.864 SL: 0.7476 Targets: 0.96 - 1.08 - 1.4 Risk: High

MicroStrategy is up $5.1 BILLION on their Bitcoin savings.

Bitcoin ETF Inflow : 2024-09-13 Net Inflow : $263.2M ETH ETF Inflow : 2024-09-13 Net Inflow : $1.5M

$BTC TP2✅ 59900

Gold just hit another all time high despite: 1. Markets pricing-out a 50 basis point rate cut 2. Markets pricing-out geopolitical risk worries 3. Market volatility dropping to new monthly lows 4. Monthly inflation data coming in above expectations 5. Markets pricing-out possibility of recession in 2024 Gold is trading as if we are in a major crisis while all of the data is saying the exact opposite.

MicroStrategy Acquires Additional 18,300 Bitcoin Worth $1.11 Billion

$WLD TP1✅ 1.58 SL to BE

$WLD Long Entry: 1.45 SL: 1.284 Targets: 1.58 - 1.8 - 2.1 Risk: High

PPI came in soft. Good unemployment numbers, and finally, the labor market is not as weak as expected. Chances of 25bps cut at 85%. No major economic shock is expected. This month markets sold off in worries of fed too late to cut rates and fears of major economic shock. Yesterday's soft CPI and today's good unemployment data are not so worrying, I guess we are past the economic fear. $BTC should see some recovery this month. If things go smoothly Q4 is going to be BULLISH.

Key Macro prints for today.

Crypto Net Inflow : Sep 10th BTC ETFs : -$43.9M ETH ETFs : -$500k

Bitwise chart shows Bitcoin historically pumps in price after being down in September Bullish.

Bounced right off the support. GG if you scalped it.

$BTC at Last line of support 55800 - it's bounce or die time. if this support broken 50k incoming.

As expected. Market reacting is like non event. Guess Market should keep dragging UP till 60k.

CPI print in 7mins

CPI print today. if CPI y/y is below 2.5% - BULLISH. Given the 50bps rate cut probability goes higher.

Harris-Trump debate ends without mention of cryptocurrency. US 🇺🇸 presidential candidates Harris and Trump debated multiple topics, ranging from abortion rights to Ukraine, but #crypto was not among them.

Current Global Situation: 1. Stocks can barely hold a daily gain with just 1 green day this month 2. Oil prices are crashing like demand is disappearing 3. Bond prices are rising like we are entering a recession 4. Gold prices are rising like more volatility is coming 5. Mortgage demand is at 30+ year lows like prices are crashing 6. Crypto is nearing a bear market like risk appetite is gone

Despite the prolonged downturn, the cryptocurrency market reached a figure of 60 million active monthly addresses in August.

Spot ETF issuer Bitwise graph showing how Bitcoin is the world's best-performing asset.

📊 Chances of winning 🇺🇸 US Presidential Election : Trump: 52% chance Harris: 48% chance Purely Based on polls and prediction markets

A new report from River, a Bitcoin fintech company, predicts that 10% of U.S.-based companies will convert 1.5% of their treasury reserves—equating to roughly $10.35 billion—into #Bitcoin over the next 18 months

Crypto funds saw ~$600 million in outflows last week, the 2nd largest on record. This was only below the 2022 levels when cryptocurrencies experienced a severe bear market.

UP 10%

Bitcoin saw a total of $728 million in withdrawals from exchanges this week. While addresses holding between 100 and 1,000 #BTC continued to accumulate, despite a decline in prices

China's state-owned banks have established a $100 billion short position against the US dollar to support the yuan.

$BTC Update if 55k is not reclaimed in next few days, imo 50k is next.

Once $BTC is done dumping $SUI will pump hard. Grab some in spot bag. CMP 0.85

55k bids filled. This should be the support. If BTC slips further, that's doomsday. Not gonna knife catch here.

Final shakeout before UP next week. This is where traders capitulate.

FED’S WILLIAMS: IS READY TO START PROCESS OF RATE CUTS

BULLISH short term.

Hope the analysts are right. 1 min to go.

ANALYST: THE UPCOMING AUGUST JOBS REPORT IS NOT EXPECTED TO SHOW STRONG RESULTS, WHICH WON’T HELP EASE WORRIES ABOUT THE ECONOMY; ECONOMIST PREDICTS THAT THE NUMBER OF JOBS ADDED AND THE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE WILL BE DISAPPOINTING

15 mins for the macro print.

Binance founder CZ is permanently banned from managing the exchange under his U.S. plea deal, says CEO Richard Teng

Today’s important macro event. - Non-farm Employment change - unemployment rate This week’s JOLT’s job opening came in much lower than estimates showing weakening labor market. If today’s Non farm employment change prints lower than estimates that further proves labor market is deteriorating and fed will have to make changes in rate cuts faster to prevent labor market crisis. Risk assets love more rate cuts, that’s BULLISH case scenario for Bitcoin. $BTC trading at the support is hanging on thin threat. This event could potentially be saviour.

$ETH Very close to breakout.

Donald Trump is now leading Kamala Harris by 7 percentage points in 2024 election odds, according to Polymarket's prediction markets. Just one month ago, Harris was leading Trump by 10 percentage points on the same platform.

$BTC Update Yesterday $BTC held strong when $SPX sold off, first signs of strength. H30 MSB and putting higher low's now. Today I will go long if 58.5k is broken and held as support.

Crypto Fear and Greed Index Index Value : 29 Sentiment : Fear BTC Price : $57971

If H4 closes above 57k, we go up again.

Key reason for fall 👉 2 readings of manufacturing production showed signs of weakness 👎 S&P Global’s showed a decline from July to August 👎 ISM manufacturing index for August came in at 47.2% vs expected 47.9

BTC 55k ✅

Bitcoin miners sold 2,655 $BTC in the last two days

Perps is holding BTC here, once perps demand is exhausted Bitcoin will sell off.

Pushed up a bit but early signs spot bidders exhaustion. Need more spot bids to push higher otherwise 55k imminent.

Perp shorts getting absorbed by spot. Might push it to 61k.

$BTC Analysis September is mostly bearish if you see the history of September. My short interest area is 62k targeting 55k.

That was a move led by perps. Resume DOWN ONLY.

$SPX down and $BTC on thin thread.

If 58k doesn't hold, 56k incoming.

59k to 58k Thanks for playing

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Perps tried to hold absorbing spot sellers but it looks like perps gave up. More downside very likely.

Coinbase selling hard today. Bloody Friday incoming?

Gold Hits All-Time High Closing Price

"It’s very rare that you find a technology that solves every rich person's problem and every poor person's problem simultaneously." - Michael Saylor on Bitcoin

Telegram CEO Pavel Durov has been released under judicial supervision in France. He is required to pay a €5 million deposit and is prohibited from leaving the country. Telegram Faces Possible Ban in Indonesia Jakarta Globe reports that Telegram may be banned in Indonesia due to accusations of distributing pornography and encouraging online gambling.

Global liquidity hits an all-time high of $95 trillion Historically, Bitcoin price follows

That's a beat. PUMP IT.

NVIDIA 2Q REV. $30.0B, EST. $28.86B, above whisper *NVIDIA 2Q ADJ EPS 68C, Exp. $0.69 *NVIDIA 2Q ADJ GROSS MARGIN 75.7%, EST. 75.5%

NVIDIA earning post NY session. A miss would mean instant sell off probably leading to new downtrend. If it's well above target then BULLISH.

Stacked bids below lows. 👀

$BTC Spot bidders showing up. Let's see what NY session holds.

$BTC Analysis As updated last time $BTC slipped off the 62k area to 58k. The Bullish momentum after Powell's speech completely retracted and again entered a rangebound environment. Traders are in no hurry to be BULLISH without clarifying how many basis points the fed will cut the rates. Right now #Bitcoin is finding support at August VWAP, lose that 56k lows will be swept. 63k is a key pivot for me to go Long or Short. The first sign of Bullish momentum regaining is acceptance back above 60k this week.

$BTC looks very weak. No strong reaction at support. More downside likely. Not touching any longs for now.

#FREEDUROV

US stocks and Bitcoin tends to rise after US presidential elections. This is because prices are reflecting expectations of economic stimulus measures from the new administration.

$BTC Analysis Last week after Powell's speech $BTC broke 62k on the 5th attempt. Acceptance back in the 5-month value area. Long triggers on retest of 62k is what I am looking for.

Spot bidders getting absorbed here. Post NY likely $BTC crashes to 62k.