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barcha postlar Captain Keshel's 2024 Election HQ

One-Stop Shop for Patriot Engagement, News, and Updates for the 2024 Election Cycle No drama, no factions, and no nonsense. 
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Postlar arxivi
https://x.com/truthhammer4eva/status/1837486670645809568?s=46
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How much more proof do you need that Harris doesn’t think she is winning? Her campaign just challenged Trump to a debate on October 23. That is well past the date of when they’ve been storing away ballots like squirrels and in the funnel of when the GOP vote comes storming in on in-person early voting and soon to be Election Day. Don’t give her the debate.
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Just In Time Mail Ballots Just about all of election systems are being outsourced to private vendors. So don't think that the person sitting in your local elections office would even know anything about this. They are there to just count the ballots and NOT ASK QUESTIONS!. I have questioned the theory of hacking of the tabulators, because whenever we talk to insiders in at the Florida offices they swear that all the paper ballots are there. Being a systems builder, I could imagine a system that would simply forecast how many mail in ballots are needed and make sure they arrive throughout the LOOOONG election cycles that were implemented across the US. Why do you think the establishment keeps promoting early and mail in ballots? If the systems are so great, why can't we all show up on a single day and vote? Well... they would have no time to cheat. Do your really think with billions or even trillions of dollars on the line and more importantly GLOBAL DOMINATION, that they would not be doing this?
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What is Just-in-Time (JIT) Inventory Management.mp4

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We Are Buying The Rope They Will Hang Us With Mail In Ballots are how they are turning states "purple" and then solid blue. You have to start asking WHY is the Establishment Republicans and State and County Officials openly promoting mail in ballots EVEN AFTER the mass hysteria around COVID. Mail in Ballots have the WORST TRACK RECORD FOR FRAUD, but somehow we have more people coming out and telling us to "Bank Your Vote" by requesting a mail in ballot or worse, making sure you can vote as early as possible. In this post, I show how California nearly INSTANTLY went from Voting for Ronald Reagan to Nancy Pelosi nearly a decade before anyone saw computer as a polling device. With mail in ballots, you can get rid of the machines and hand count every ballot and you will still be scratching your head wondering how you lost.
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REAL DATA/NOT FAKE POLLS: NC GOP cuts Dem registration advantage last week by another 1500 statewide. Franklin County flips to GOP registration advantage for first time in history. Dems not yet at 2020 levels of membership in Wake or Mecklenburg Counties, which they must max out to have a shot.
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Allow me to translate: “It looks like Trump will carry Pennsylvania.”
Fetterman says Trump has 'special kind of place' in PA after assassination attempt
Democratic Sen. John Fetterman expressed concern Thursday at the 2024 Atlantic Festival that former President Donald Trump maintains a "special kind of place" in Pennsylvania.
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On now!
Why We Vote Ep. 94 -7:30 PM ET-
Fridays at 7:30 PM ET Episode Archive: https://rumble.com/playlists/d40w0M8i5hQ CannCon & Ashe in America interview voting experts throughout the nation to explore why the foundation of our Republic n
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Just please cast it in person on election day.
Jack Posobiec
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🚨FRA CALL-TO-ACTION🚨 Call, Email, and Tweet Governor DeSantis and tell him to follow and lead by issuing an executive order to Codify Comprehensive Election Security Measures to Protect Legal Voters and Accurate Counts. This includes the use of 100% paper ballots with a strict chain of custody as well as hand count ballots. Also terminate mail in ballots due to no chain of custody. Encourage him to do the right thing and issue the executive order immediately. Gov. Ron DeSantis Contact Information Call: (850) 717-9337 Email: Tweet: To learn more about protecting your vote please share this video with everyone you know including your state legislature:
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In a sea of rigged polling, New York stands to contain perhaps the most shocking data I've seen since I discovered the media's failure to cover up the margin shifts in Ohio in 2016, leading me to call the race perfectly. New York may be the canary in the coal mine signaling a massive change in the electoral environment. This article is open to all and is a Must Read if you are dooming out about this election. Thank you!
Watch New York - 2024's Potential Canary in the Coal Mine
Topic: 2024 Election Forecast
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NEW: WIN: Georgia to Require Hand Count of Ballots to Confirm Electronic Results.
WIN: Georgia to Require Hand Count of Ballots to Confirm Electronic Results.
In another win for election integrity efforts in Georgia, the state board of elections—in a 3-2 decision—is requiring counties to hand count all ballots in November’s election. According to the Georgia State Election Board, ballots will still be counted electronically as well, but the hand count will be required prior to official certification of the […]
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It has never been more important to LISTEN to the narratives being dropped to INFLUENCE future events. Mail ballot requests are far less Democrat and far fewer in quantity than last time, and all indicators point to this race looking much more like 2016 than 2020. If you can’t stop the game and reset it this time, how do you work around the inevitable. They will tell you if you listen. Thanks for reading and supporting my research:
Ko'proq ko'rsatish ...
Is My 1861 Scenario Coming True Before Our Eyes?
Topic: Perspective
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AZ GOP in LD10 censures Vichy “Republican” Mayor Giles. Well done.
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Oklahoma Purges More than 450,000 Ineligible Names from Voter Rolls, Including 100,000 Dead People, and 15,000 Duplicates
Oklahoma Purges More than 450,000 Ineligible Names from Voter Rolls, Including 100,000 Dead People, and 15,000 Duplicates | The Gateway Pundit | by Jim Hᴏft
          Oklahoma Governor Kevin Stitt, alongside state election officials, proudly announced a major victory in maintaining the state’s status as a national leader in election integrity.
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Let’s see if I have this right. *Teamsters won’t endorse Harris but members support Trump nearly 2:1. *63 of 67 counties have a GOP registration trend since 2020, Dem lead down from 686k to 344k. *Biden ran 605k off the registration edge in final margin in a quasi-election *Trump holds many polling leads including MSM polls *Mail ballot requests are way down… And I am supposed to believe Trump can possibly lose by 5%? This is why MSM polling is sick propaganda.
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It has never been more important to LISTEN to the narratives being dropped to INFLUENCE future events. Mail ballot requests are far less Democrat and far fewer in quantity than last time, and all indicators point to this race looking much more like 2016 than 2020. If you can’t stop the game and reset it this time, how do you work around the inevitable. They will tell you if you listen. Thanks for reading and supporting my research:
Ko'proq ko'rsatish ...
Is My 1861 Scenario Coming True Before Our Eyes?
Topic: Perspective
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The next thing we need to do is sue a election vendor. We need to make sure the state constitutions are respected and these vendors finally open up to the sunshine laws like they are required!

wedding-crasher-hro.mp4

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HUGE! FEDERAL RULING THAT VOTER ROLLS ARE A PUBLIC RECORD AND CANNOT BE LIMITED FROM ACCESS! h/t: Mostly Peaceful Farva
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Teamsters leadership didn’t have the guts to issue the endorsement of Trump even though members wanted him 58-31%. They wanted Biden 44-36% in 2020. That’s a swing of 35% - this is a mortal electoral wound for her in the Rust Belt and Midwest.
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In case you’re wondering how Harris is doing with the working class voter, she’s the first Dem nominee since 1988 to fail to receive the Teamsters endorsement. Dukakis lost 40 states the last time that happened.
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Luzerne County PA removes drop boxes for election. Big news and will cut down on ballot stuffing.
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I have offered major money on X to anyone who wants Harris +5%, which amounts to about 350k ballots, in PA, in an open bet. None of these idiots believe their own polls.
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And… the only county now providing ballots in PA is… MONTGOMERY COUNTY Perhaps the most corrupt electoral county in PA and essential to a Harris “win.”
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Trump isn’t in NY today for his health, or for fun. I don’t think the state is playable for Trump and I think he’s there for house seats… BUT… I do take it as a good sign that he’s not hard pressed to go hang out in NC/GA/PA, so the internals must look as good as the Dems’ terrible ballot request numbers and the party registration shifts.
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Must watch summary of what just happened in the Florida Primary. The Republican Party of Florida is attacking Judaeo-Christian, MAGA supporters and unfortunately, I get the feeling this is all because a deal has been made to to push through a FL Constitutional Amendment for Abortion this Nov. MAGA Candidates are still being cheated out of their FL races and I believe it because of the usually large volume of mail ballots that arrive so early before Early Voting starts. We also had a situation where fake voter guides were distributed all over the state promoting RINO candidates. If you can get the mail ballot records in your state. Just count how many are arriving per the dates they offer as "Return Dates." A simple Excel Pivot Table should do this. Drop a comment if you see unusually high volumes of mail ballots arriving before your early voting starts.
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3-2024-09-17-ConservativeDaily_converted.mp4

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⬆️this is an important watch above, highlighting importance of stopping with the dumb county vote center operations and counting and returning to the precincts. There have been serious violations of TX law and removal of ballot secrecy protections that are now opening the window for positive reform, despite opposite wishes of the TX SOS. Watch.
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Good Morning 🙏 Did yall see me at Commissioners Court today? I'm sharing with you what I've been working on! I've been advising and consulting the Barry Wernick Campaign as well as helping Shannon with to GET THIS DONE BY NOVEMBER! CAST BALLOTS BY PRECINCT TO SAVE THE REPUBLIC 🙏🇺🇸 I'm on a very tight budget, any and all donations help me continue this work and find the candidates to follow through! If you have my number, I have a Zelle account 😊 donations appreciated PayPal: Venmo: @tb-tx Cashapp: $takingbacktx Thank you all for your support! I'm meeting with the Tarrant County EA on Monday and going to the next commissioners court meeting to show them the new map showing how it IS NOT ONLY POSSIBLE to immediately return to precinct voting - it's EASY, AFFORDABLE AND LAWFUL to do BEFORE THE NOVEMBER ELECTION. 🙏🇺🇸 All donations of all sizes appreciated, please check out for our restructured entity and new updates.
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file

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Things are definitely looking up for Trump in Nevada, but what about all those legalized forms of election manipulation, including Automatic Voter Registration, universal mail in balloting, and a week to dump drop boxes? I've crunched the numbers and in the most pessimistic scenario find a race within 17,000 ballots. What Trump does with Clark County will determine the fate of these 6 electoral votes that may be needed in a pinch. Thanks for reading and supporting my work!
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My 2024 Nevada 17 County Trend Forecast
Topic: 2024 Election Forecast
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PA Dems down over 303k mail requests from this point in 2020, and with 297k fewer Dems on the rolls than last time. Bad bad bad if you’re a wack leftwinger from the Bay Area.
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As of today, 1:12 am, Dominion has officially ‘updated’ (entered) the GA chat😁🤭 Updated: September 17, 2024 SETTING THE RECORD STRAIGHT: FACTS & RUMORS
Georgia - Setting the Record Straight - Dominion Voting Systems
Updated: SETTING THE RECORD STRAIGHT: FACTS & RUMORS Arizona | Colorado | Georgia | Michigan | Pennsylvania | Wisconsin | Back to Main Dominion in Georgia In 2019, Dominion was awarded the contract to provide voting systems in Georgia after our systems were independently tested and certified to meet the states high standard for election ... Read more
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We are gonna win this sumbitch, and maybe with a little fortune I’ll be appointed director of election reform and we will bulldoze the blue wall like Ronnie Reagan knocked down the one in Germany. Evening thoughts. Cap’n out.
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Insider Advantage - Trump +1 in PA - held off to offset Suffolk Trafalgar - Trump +2.5 in GA Trump 2020 states plus PA + GA = 270 even
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Want to know another way to tell Trump is winning Arizona and doing so with a massive share of the Hispanic working class? Ruben Gallego doesn’t attack him, because he doesn’t want to turn them away from his own campaign. I just checked the last two months of his X account - not a peep, except to call for the SS director to resign.
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The worst PA pollster (Suffolk) just put out a Harris +3 (49-46%). They had Biden +7 and Clinton +10. Trump is going to win PA.
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The 2024 presidential election simplified: There is no election to be had based on every traditional predictor outside of the ability to cheat in exactly 8 states, plus the second CD of Nebraska. The states are NC, AZ, NV, PA, MI, WI, and GA. FL and TX are not playable for Harris. My measurements, even accounting for cheating detected in 2020, give Trump NV close, and NC, AZ, PA comfortably, which is enough to win the election with 271 electoral votes. By extension of IA, WI also goes to Trump by 1.4 to 4.1%, that’s 281, and where I have the race pegged today. That leaves MI, GA, NH, and NE-2 as possibles for Harris, and MI/GA only thanks to Auto Voter Registration and corruption. All other numbers and all polling from the MSM is NOISE. If she had this won, there would be no attempts on Trump or third world debates.
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What the media have done to this country is only possible because too many people are stupid and aren’t willing to do their own research. I am absolutely exhausted by the fraudulent polling, and then even more so reading the desperate replies of “conservatives” who lap them up because the media know “conservatives” doom and despair like no other group. These evil sons of bitches put out polls showing insurmountable national leads for the brain dead usurper, like +8, when two seconds of research would should you what a +7 map by Obama looked like not all that long ago. You don’t have a +8 Dem map with the candidates hanging out in the Rust Belt. I hate this crap.
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Highlights of week of 9/9-16 PA voter registration stats: -PA GOP reduces Dem voter registration advantage by 4,925. Dems now hold a lead of 343,071 registrations, and only 166,029 on the Active Roll. -For reference, Democrats have underperformed their voter registration (full, not active) advantage by an average of 688,622 in 5 elections since 2004, and the best they did was (surprise) 605,263 in 2020. -In the troublesome Philadelphia collar counties, Chester and Montgomery show momentum toward Trump for second straight week. Delaware shows movement toward Harris. -While outnumbered in new registrations, Philadelphia and Allegheny Counties reflect trend toward Trump. -Philly County down 71,362 registrations net since 2020. -Party switchers for the week went 2,719 D to R vs. 1,296 R to D, or 2.1 : 1 as a ratio. -Cumberland County remains only Trump-won county with persisent Dem trend.
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Apologies - in PA ⬆️
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Republicans cut nearly 5k off Dem voter registration lead last week in new stats just released today.
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In an article open for all, I take you under the hood in Iowa to show you that, no, the race has not swung 14 points since June, and no, there is no way WI is going to back Harris if Trump takes the Hawkeye State by 9.8% or more. And it doesn't matter which highly regarded pollster says otherwise. History and facts say "try me."
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I got a call from a very valued young friend of mine trying to convince left wingers at his college that the 2020 election was rigged. I had sent him some videos and materials and it didn’t work. I explained the following to him: Left wing people, or others who are asleep at the wheel, if they have not turned around through experience and “walked away,” are very likely to die in their stupidity and foolishness and are no longer your problem. People who support this regime are depraved, sick, self-hating, enemies of life, liberty, and freedom who would alert the authorities of any supposed infractions of the people around them who pose a threat to their tiny, fragile worldviews. They are worthless scum who believe that drugged up, brainwashed oxygen thieves are doing a service in attempting to shoot President Trump or others who stand against the bullshit they think they support. They know only hate, division, race baiting, grievance, and how to insult those who stand for all rights.
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The big takeaway from this 2nd Assassination Attempt on is this: "Is someone on the inside leaking or facilitating the transmission of the exact locations of President Trump to facilitate these attempts on his life?"
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If Trump still has to answer for Charlottesville and other hoaxes, Harris needs to explain to America why her supporters keep trying to kill Trump. Fair is fair.
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Harris is so far up in the polls people are trying to take Trump out 😒 YES THIS IS SARCASM
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Sure enough, another attempt on Trump. If Stelter is putting it out there I don’t think they’re burying this one.
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If you think Taylor Swift losing 150mm going after Trump was bad, wait until Travis Kelce jumps into this and loses 3/4 of the NFL’s fan base.
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There is precisely one story going on for the next 60 days that matters. All else is a distraction. The media are gently setting expectations for a delayed count. What that means is that by the end of election night, Trump will have already won 235 electoral votes pending NC, and will be miles ahead in PA, MI, WI, GA, up in AZ, and maybe even nursing a lead in MN. This is pretty much a repeat of 2020. There may or may not be an attempt to stop the count, which should be preempted right now with our own counter narratives, and the weak RNC lawyers should be in court ASAP seeking injunctions against the same behavior. No one should be going to sleep the night of 11/5, and local patriot groups should plant so many observers around the key counties it will take an act of congress to remove them. No other news, included the idiotic opinions of a dumbass pop star with chicken legs, matters at this point other than preparing to counter the gentle narratives that are forming.
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No surprise, Don Bacon is a backstabbing traitor.
Half dozen House Republicans break with Trump in vow to accept 2024 election results
The letter, also signed by 26 Democrats, includes pledges attend the inauguration and condemn violence.
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Things that can be done exponentially faster today than in 1950: *fast food in five minutes *email instantly and not a week to receive a letter *travel across the Atlantic in 6 hours *drive 250 miles in 3 hours *have a video meeting instantly instead of fly or drive for hours *download a movie on demand instead of going to a video store *generating images through AI rather than by hand Things that are required to be done much more slowly than they were in 1950: *counting of ballots in states or counties that will decide an election
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Iowa has moved from R+1 to R+11 in four years and under Trump has consistently surpassed its GOP registration advantage in margin of victory. I trended it out the other day and it is on track to move to Trump +12-18% this year, 189k to 284k votes in margin. Wisconsin cannot stay blue under either measurement.
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One reason I prefer to express likely outcomes by understanding registration and trend dynamics instead of polling is because if you live by the polls, you die by the polls. I regularly point out the pro-Trump polls that align with reality as a time capsule point against propaganda polls. Today, Ann Selzer finally released her September Iowa poll and it only shows Trump +4, when it was Trump +18 in June against Biden. That last number means an insurmountable lead in WI, and on track in MN as well. The +4 does not. She ran a Trump-Biden tie this time in 2020 and it would up Trump +8, and then some. Live by polls, die by polls. Most pollsters are serving the narrative for continued relevance.
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Here’s how mail requests are going for Dems. Shittily.
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It is clear as day to me that the campaigns view the current Electoral College picture the same way, with Trump sitting on a presumptive 281 to 221 lead, with 36 electoral votes up for grabs. Understanding the battlefield is the first step in making decisions - in the case of Harris, her's relies on undercutting Trump where he thinks he has electoral votes in the bag. Trump's relies on cutting her off where she needs to make gains and maximizing exposure and leverage in four of the seven decisive states he know's he's up in. This is OPEN for all for your situational awareness as we move into a critical juncture. Thank you for reading and supporting my work:
Ko'proq ko'rsatish ...
State of Play: Trump 281, Harris 221 - And Pathways for Each Campaign
Topic: 2024 Election Forecast
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We are calling on all Georgians, with the plethora of evidence available, to come together and realize we have one shot to get it right, to restore sovereign control of our elections, to save our Republic! The time is now!
Jeff Fulgham (@jeffmfulgham) on X
Georgia 2024: Our Joint Effort to Mitigate Fraud I've been in contact with @BrianKempGA's staff. I finished a letter to the governor that will be in his staff's hands by Tuesday. People who I work with already have the letter and will ensure it's delivered. The letter
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Atlas Intel national poll just released shows Trump +3.6%. In 2020, their final poll showed Biden +4.7%. That’s a massive swing, and yes, it makes the steal much harder.
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Mail-in voting is a crime against the people.
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Since it’s such a pain in the ass, how about we show up and vote in one day?
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Oh yes, of course. NEW YORK TIMES: "It is becoming increasingly likely that there will be no clear and immediate winner on election night and that early returns could give a false impression of who will ultimately prevail." "If a winner is not declared on election night, it will not necessarily point to failures in the process. More likely, it will be a result of the intense security measures required for counting mail-in ballots."
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Many think Kamala is in the lead. It’s fun to ask them “then why is Kamala cheating? Is that what you do when you are in the lead?”
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From my personal journal, a reflection on attitude received thousands of miles away from home and long ago - why those with good attitudes and actionable plans achieve those goals and inspire others to join their cause. Thank you for reading - OPEN for all.
Reflections on Proper Attitudes of Free People
Looking back through time at my Dad's reminder to make sure my attitude is everything it should be to align with the pursuit of meaningful goals.
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It is clear as day to me that the campaigns view the current Electoral College picture the same way, with Trump sitting on a presumptive 281 to 221 lead, with 36 electoral votes up for grabs. Understanding the battlefield is the first step in making decisions - in the case of Harris, her's relies on undercutting Trump where he thinks he has electoral votes in the bag. Trump's relies on cutting her off where she needs to make gains and maximizing exposure and leverage in four of the seven decisive states he know's he's up in. This is OPEN for all for your situational awareness as we move into a critical juncture. Thank you for reading and supporting my work:
Ko'proq ko'rsatish ...
State of Play: Trump 281, Harris 221 - And Pathways for Each Campaign
Topic: 2024 Election Forecast
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Lee County, NC, flips to GOP registration advantage for first time in history.
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GOP in NC sinks Dem registration advantage another net 1,932 in the last week, further confirming Trump has all the momentum there. They even outregistered Dems in raw numbers in Mecklenburg County, home of Charlotte. Repel all propaganda and stick to facts. The Uniparty hates that.
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PA Supreme Court rules no more undated, unsigned mail ballots. Dems are cratering.
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https://open.substack.com/pub/southdakotacanvassinggroup/p/breaking-major-insurance-vendor-discontinues?r=vvyy1&utm_medium=ios
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So sad, now North Carolinians may have to vote on that same day they voted on for centuries. And sorry, Kamala. Some of us realize your path to 270 relies on swiping this one. Grab your hard hat and head for the steel mills. You’re gonna need it.
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Make no mistake. Trump is absolutely winning today, and on pace to win in November. That means the enemy is cornered and will be laser focused on turning that tide at whatever cost is necessary. Distractions, manufactured crises, celebrities, bread and circuses. 53 more days. Lead, investigate, volunteer, engage, show up.
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I think both campaigns see the map sitting at 281-221 Trump, with 36 electoral votes up in the air. More on this tomorrow on my SubStack -
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Laughable to me that people still can’t forecast Wisconsin and think Harris would win it comfortably (or at all). Here is the voter registration trend-out for Iowa from 2004. It puts Trump on pace for a win of no less than 189k, and likely in the neighborhood of over a quarter million. The average distance between Iowa and Wisconsin is 136k votes in the last 3 races.
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All Politics Are Local When you follow the money in your local community, does it lead to the same place? I'm genuinely curious if this is the root of the issue across this country. We are all being told to worry about China or Russia, but I feel like we all have a Boss Hogg in our back yard getting mail ballots trucked in so they can own our county governments. Let me know what you think.
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In April of this year, I sat at the bedside of my father. He said these words to me below two months before he passed away. Dad was reminiscing about Nicaragua and how our family escaped here to the United States. His words are very telling and a warning to all of us here in the United States.
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In just under two months, we will finally have a definitive answer as to whether our votes count to any extent. If this were an election taking place before 2018 and the beginning of legalized cheating, I would advise you to bet all you own on Trump. That is how clear all the indicators are of a Trump win of 300+ votes in the electoral college. As it is now - stay frosty.
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Maybe she should eat a burger.
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These worthless performers should be thanking Trump for reminding society of their existence rather than using their moment in the sun to smear him. Take a hike, Linda.
Linda Ronstadt releases statement as Trump is set to host event in music hall with her namesake
Tucson native Linda Ronstadt has released a statement in response to former president Donald J. Trump hosting an event at The Linda Ronstadt Music Hall.
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Just added all the above posts on Florida's Mail In Ballots into a sharable Substack article. Please help spread the word because I feel that mail in ballots is where the majority of the rigging is happening in every state... Especially the states that most of their ballots cast by mail. Even if we had hand count ballots with full transparency with the machines, this hidden scheme could still steal our elections.
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Why would Harris be putting out distress signals over PA, and polling so strongly point to Trump winning a state that is so important for this year's race? Here is my 67 county forecast for Pennsylvania that shows why Harris is focusing so hard on trying to rip off NC, GA, and AZ. Thank you for reading and supporting my journal.
My 2024 Pennsylvania 67 County Trend Forecast
Topic: 2024 Election Forecast
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No Democrat has lost Pennsylvania and won the Presidency since Harry Truman in 1948.
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Vote By Mail Volume By Date Does it make any sense to you that the majority of mail-in ballots in Florida are arriving before Early Voting Starts? Wouldn't you think that most of them SHOULD BE arriving during early voting & election day since that is when voter guides and information is generally available for who to vote for? In some counties more than 70% of the mail ballots were returned before Early Voting Started: -Bradford = 75.6% -Calhoun = 73.2% -Citrus = 70% -Escambia = 72.7% -Gulf = 71.3% -Highlands = 71% -Holmes = 74.5% -Lake = 71.4% -Lee = 70.5% -Levy = 70.3% -Marion = 70% -Okeechobee = 71.8% (pause the video and check the lower left corner to see your county's percentage) If you also watch the blue vs red columns, you will see strange instances of more mail in ballots arriving on a single day BEFORE EARLY VOTING than on election day. Some are higher volumes than the entire last week of the election. In some cases, these mail-ins are sitting for more than 30 days before they are processed.
Ko'proq ko'rsatish ...

VBM Returned Over Time_converted.mp4

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Some scratch work on Nevada. Dems took registration lead in 2008, registration lead of 100,723. Obama margin that year was 120,909. His margin was 20,186 over their registration lead. Since then, it's been a negative split on overdrive with two Trump races. Now the state is nearly Republican registration advantage after the purge last month. Trump is on place to win the state by 10-40k, with low end encompassing the 2008 Obama year which won't be replicated. GOING TO BE VERY HARD TO STEAL NEVADA AND MAYBE NOT WORTH IT FOR SIX ELECTORAL VOTES. Winning NV on top of the 2020 states allows for PA+AZ or WI to deliver the White House without GA and MI.
Ko'proq ko'rsatish ...
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Black vote disengaged in NC.
The Library
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I am absolutely dumbfounded this happened. And I’m 50/50 on it being senility, or being deliberate shunning of the woman who shoved him out the door. But what a wild turn in an insane chapter of history.
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Nevada voter roll purge complete, impacts Dems by nearly 10k more than Reps. Nevada has moved from D+4.5% to D+1% and will very likely vote Trump this year for 6 electoral votes.
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US election officials should be tried for treason and forced to admit mail ballots should be banned.
US election officials warn of widespread problems with US mail-in voting
Breaking news from around the world.
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The Ohio AG is backing up Trump from last night and talking about credible citizen reporting about migrants capturing and eating local geese in Springfield. Eat it, media scum.
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Besides Trump and the American People for a period of 4 years, who stands to gain the most if and when Harris collapses, loses Pennsylvania and the race for the White House? Josh Shapiro - and I believe strongly he is not only restraining his own ambition in acting like he wants her to win, but also that he is capable of ensuring she doesn't win Pennsylvania, setting himself up to the THE GUY in 2028. Plus, bonus debate debrief. This dispatch from the friendly skies is free for all of my SubStack subscribers. Thank you for your readership and support of my work.
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Shapiro Wants Harris to Lose (Especially Pennsylvania) + Captain K's Debate Debrief
Topic: Perspective
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Harris should research Bunker Hill and the concept of a Pyrrhic Victory. This is Reuters big sad about last night.
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Trump likely ahead in FL!!! Vote count underway.
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We went from “give me liberty or give me death” and winning a revolution against the most powerful military empire in history to that point, with a substantial portion of the population disloyal to the cause, to the government that those founders set up using chicken-legged, cardboard personality bimbos who couldn’t spot the ocean on a map to influence millions of people to vote against the Constitutional liberties the founders sacrificed all to enshrine in 249 years. This is only possible thanks to having a society that is too lazy to do its own research and too stupid to know they are being lied to. I welcome people changing their minds but I am done pretending citizens who willingly support this shit are functional adults who should be trusted with influencing the future of the western world against people who have invested in it. Taylor Swift sucks, and so do all the brain dead celebrities who owe their entire worth and purpose to these corrupt oligarchs who menace the world. Rant complete.
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From the archives:
Ten Reasons MAGA Americans Should Care About What Taylor Swift Does
Topic: Perspective
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Also, my final post of the evening. No one gives a shit what Taylor Swift thinks about politics, and she should keep cranking out shitty music documenting her many lousy decisions.
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Two key points for the doomers: 1) CNN thinks it's a push. 2) Harris wants another debate - a mixed message because she clearly thinks they help her when its 3 on 1, but also that she DOES NOT have the yardage to reach the chains without more help.
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Captain K Debate Assessment - First and Only *The debate was a giant wash. Biden set the bar so low that if Harris didn't defecate at the podium or fall asleep, she would be declared a smashing success. *Any gains she made off of the above point may be negated by how much of a giant bitch she acts like, her demeanor, and the behavior of the moderators, which was bad even for media standards. *Trump was very sound on policy and fought back nearly every false claim thrown at him. Some think there was a missed opportunity to blame her for concealing Biden's mental state, but Trump has mastered the issues. *There will be a few days of panel narratives and maybe a slight response driven polling boost per Richard Baris, but I think America has reached a point in which debates no longer matter unless something truly extraordinary happens. Verdict - PUSH
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Brace yourselves. Fake articles and polls will be flying.
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The VP bans fracking?
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Oxirgi yangilanish: 11.07.23
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